Las Vegas Aces

Basketball WNBA Footprint Center Mon 30 Jun 06:00

Phoenix Mercury

  1. Prediction
  2. Bet Builder
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Team Stats
  6. Standings

There’s a Strong Case for Mercury ATS

We are confident that the Mercury will cover the spread. -7.5 seems a generous line and you can get 1.91 that the favorites will win by a bigger margin against the Aces.

Aces Have Won 8 of Previous 10 H2H Matchups

Las Vegas Aces lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Washington Mystics 94-83 at Michelob Ultra Arena.

Phoenix Mercury won their last game which was at home. It was a 106-91 triumph at Footprint Center against New York Liberty.

The Mercury won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 76-70 victory was registered against the Aces at Michelob Ultra Arena. In the past 10 H2H meetings, the Aces have won eight.

WNBA W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Mercury 12 5 1421 1348 73 7-3 5-2 1L
Aces 8 8 1294 1312 -18 5-4 3-4 1W
View Full Standings

Expert WNBA Analysis

We study the form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making WNBA predictions. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

Key Aces vs Mercury stats:

  • The -7.5 line has been covered by Mercury in 4 consecutive games.
  • The -7.5 line has been covered by Mercury in 6 of their last 10 games.
  • The +7.5 line hasn’t been covered by Aces in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
  • The +7.5 line hasn’t been covered by Aces in 2 consecutive games on the road.

Aces vs Mercury Prediction

Phoenix Mercury should secure a comfortable win and a bet on the spread could be the best way forward in this WNBA showdown. Back our pick off -7.5 to cover the line at 1.91.

If you want to pimp the odds about the Mercury against the spread, you might consider going down the Bet Builder route and combine this prediction with other selections.

Mercury -7.5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

Our Pick

Mercury -7.5 @ 1.91 Bet Now bet365 logo
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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.
Published 08:52, 29 June 2025

Player Props

Alyssa Thomas Over 6.5 Rebounds 1.65 bet365 logo

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) is available at 1.65 to rack up Over 6.5 rebounds. We’re confident that she can oblige with an Overs bet considering the generous line that’s on offer.

Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds

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Satou Sabally Over 18.5 Points 1.95 bet365 logo

Satou Sabally (Mercury) can be backed to score Over 18.5 points at 1.95. We think that the line looks really appealing for this Player Points bet as we’re expecting her to cover this total.

Latest Satou Sabally Player Prop Odds

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Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Bet Builder Tips

Spread Mercury -7.5
Totals Under 168
Player Rebounds Alyssa Thomas Over 6.5

Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Mercury -7.5. We’ve also gone for Under 168 and Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) to get Over 6.5 rebounds.

The bet builder option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same basketball game. You need all your predictions to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored wager on the contest which interests them most.

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Correct Score Prediction

Aces Aces logo 76 - 88 Mercury logo Mercury

The Mercury to win by a 88-76 scoreline could be worth a chance. There’s a big potential return if you can land this bet on the money and it should provide some entertainment.

Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Mercury Big Favorites With the Books

The Phoenix Mercury odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are 1.38 betting favorites to land victory in this WNBA game which means a 72% chance of winning. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Las Vegas Aces are trading at 3.05.

6 is the spread and 168 is the total points line. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. Those that want to back Under 168 can find odds of 1.91 available.

If you’re wagering on basketball, we recommend heading to the betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.

Betting Lines & Odds

A'ja Wilson Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

A'ja Wilson is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get 1.95 that she goes Over 21.5 points and 1.81 when it comes to Under.

Player Points

Player Assists

Player Rebounds

Satou Sabally (Mercury)
Over 7.5
1.80
Under 7.5
1.97
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Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)
Over 6.5
1.67
Under 6.5
2.15
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Jackie Young (Aces)
Over 4.5
2.20
Under 4.5
1.64
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Micro Betting

An increasing number of basketball bettors are now enjoying micro betting and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

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Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Las Vegas Aces logo Las Vegas Aces Stats

Phoenix Mercury logo Phoenix Mercury Stats

Moneyline

  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

  • 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

Point Spread

Total Points

Total Points

WNBA Table Select Season

Team W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Lynx 14 2 1365 1186 179 8-0 6-2 2W
Mercury 12 5 1421 1348 73 7-3 5-2 1L
Liberty 11 5 1401 1278 123 6-1 5-4 2L
Dream 11 6 1434 1334 100 7-2 4-4 1W
Storm 10 6 1347 1273 74 6-3 4-3 1W
Valkyries 8 7 1188 1178 10 6-3 2-4 1W
Fever 8 8 1345 1281 64 4-4 4-4 1W
Aces 8 8 1294 1312 -18 5-4 3-4 1W
Mystics 8 9 1346 1361 -15 5-3 3-6 1L
10  Sky 5 11 1261 1403 -142 2-4 3-7 1W
11  Sparks 5 12 1390 1476 -86 1-7 4-5 1L
12  Wings 5 13 1467 1527 -60 3-6 2-7 1W
13  Sun 2 15 1208 1510 -302 1-6 1-9 9L