Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Sep 2025

By Kevin Collins, WNBA Analyst | Published: 11 days ago | Last Updated: Sep 12, 03:40 | 4 min read
Phoenix Mercury
Basketball WNBA College Park Center Fri 12 Sep 08:00
Dallas Wings
  1. Prediction
  2. Bet Builder
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Team Stats
  6. Standings

WNBA Betting Preview: Mercury vs Wings

The Phoenix Mercury clash with the Dallas Wings in this WNBA matchup at College Park Center, with tip-off scheduled for 08:00 on Friday 12 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Mercury Primed for Convincing Win

The Mercury can cover the -5 line on the spread. This is a great number and that’s why we’re playing the favorites at 1.93 to overcome the Wings.

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Mercury Claimed 102-72 Win in Previous H2H

Phoenix Mercury were beaten 88-83 at PHX Arena in their previous game, being turned over at home to Los Angeles Sparks.

Dallas Wings suffered a defeat in their last game. A 91-77 scoreline occurred on the road at Crypto.com Arena against Los Angeles Sparks.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Mercury won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 102-72 victory was registered against the Wings at PHX Arena. Each franchise has landed five wins in the previous 10 games between these teams.

WNBA W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
4  Mercury 27 17 3643 3525 118 15-7 12-10 3L
13  Wings 10 34 3594 3871 -277 6-16 4-18 1W
View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Prediction & Picks

Our Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Game Prediction

We are confident that Mercury will cover the spread in this WNBA showdown. -5 seems a more than generous line and you can get 1.93 that they will win by a bigger margin.

It’s important to know which players are unavailable for the upcoming WNBA action along with the current form of each franchise. If you're after stats, you're in the right place because they form the foundation of our basketball picks.

Key Mercury vs Wings stats:

  • The -5 line has been covered by Mercury in 6 of their last 10 games.
  • The -5 line has been covered by Mercury in 3 of their last 5 games.
  • The +5 line hasn’t been covered by Wings in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
  • The +5 line hasn’t been covered by Wings in 7 of their last 10 games.
  • The +5 line hasn’t been covered by Wings in 3 consecutive games at home.

Mercury -5 Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 51.8% prospect of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This WNBA bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

In the hunt for bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your wager to be.

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Best Bet

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Published 12:52, 11 September 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Satou Sabally Under 5.5 Rebounds

Satou Sabally (Mercury) can be backed to record Under 5.5 rebounds at 1.80. It stands to reason that she will fall short of the line which looks generous for this Player Rebounds bet.

Latest Satou Sabally Player Prop Odds

Points
Assists
Rebounds

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Paige Bueckers Under 18.5 Points

Paige Bueckers (Wings) is available at 1.83 to register Under 18.5 points. It’s anticipated that her Player Points are going to fall below the total, with this bet offering plenty of appeal.

Latest Paige Bueckers Player Prop Odds

Points
Assists
Rebounds

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Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Mercury -5
Totals Over 165.5
Player Rebounds Satou Sabally Under 5.5

We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Mercury -5.5 on the spread, combined with Over 166.5 and Satou Sabally (Mercury) to get Under 5.5 rebounds.

The same game parlay option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same basketball game. You need all your predictions to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored wager on the contest which interests them most.

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Correct Score Prediction

Mercury Mercury logo 88 - 81 Wings logo Wings

The Mercury might be able to claim a win and we’re siding with a 88-81 scoreline in their favor. A small stake can provide a big return and there are tasty odds available.

Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Mercury Trading at Shorter Odds Than Wings

Phoenix Mercury have the shortest price to win this WNBA game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 71% probability due to their 1.40 Moneyline betting odds. Dallas Wings are the underdogs at 2.98 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is currently 5.5, with the total points line at 167.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re wanting to back Over 167.5, the odds are 1.93.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most matchups. The best basketball sportsbooks offer a great selection of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Betting Lines & Odds
Moneyline
Point Spread
Total Points

Paige Bueckers Favorite to Score the Most Points

Paige Bueckers is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get 1.95 that she goes Over 17.5 points and 1.81 when it comes to Under.

Player Points
Paige Bueckers (Wings)
Maddy Siegrist (Wings)
Satou Sabally (Mercury)
Player Assists
Paige Bueckers (Wings)
Satou Sabally (Mercury)
Player Rebounds
Satou Sabally (Mercury)
Maddy Siegrist (Wings)
Paige Bueckers (Wings)

Micro Betting

An increasing number of basketball bettors are now enjoying micro betting and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury logo Phoenix Mercury Stats
Dallas Wings logo Dallas Wings Stats
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 0 wins and 10 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points

WNBA Table Select Season

Team W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
1  Lynx 34 10 3787 3373 414 20-2 14-8 1W
2  Aces 30 14 3680 3552 128 17-5 13-9 16W
3  Dream 30 14 3712 3378 334 16-6 14-8 6W
4  Mercury 27 17 3643 3525 118 15-7 12-10 3L
5  Liberty 27 17 3713 3534 179 17-5 10-12 3W
6  Fever 24 20 3734 3586 148 13-9 11-11 3W
7  Storm 23 21 3614 3524 90 10-12 13-9 1W
8  Valkyries 23 21 3420 3359 61 14-8 9-13 3L
9  Sparks 21 23 3769 3882 -113 9-13 12-10 1L
10  Mystics 16 28 3394 3589 -195 10-12 6-16 10L
11  Sun 11 33 3337 3782 -445 7-15 4-18 2L
12  Sky 10 34 3335 3777 -442 6-16 4-18 4L
13  Wings 10 34 3594 3871 -277 6-16 4-18 1W
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