Phoenix Mercury

Basketball WNBA Michelob Ultra Arena Mon 16 Jun 06:00

Las Vegas Aces

  1. Prediction
  2. Bet Builder
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Team Stats
  6. Standings

Aces Should Put Up a Fight

With the Aces being given a line of +4.5 to overcome, our prediction is that they can cover this against the Mercury. There’s the chance to get 1.94 for this outcome.

9 Aces Wins in Previous 10 H2H Encounters

Phoenix Mercury previous game saw them claim a 93-80 home win over Dallas Wings at Footprint Center.

Las Vegas Aces won their last game, beating Dallas Wings at home. It was a 88-84 win at Michelob Ultra Arena.

The Aces have claimed consecutive wins over the Mercury. Both victories were achieved at Footprint Center, with a 103-99 followed by a 97-79 scoreline. The past 10 games between the teams have seen the Aces win nine times.

WNBA W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Mercury 11 4 1234 1173 61 6-2 5-2 5W
Aces 7 8 1210 1231 -21 5-4 2-4 1L
View Full Standings

Expert WNBA Analysis

We study the form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making WNBA predictions. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

Key Mercury vs Aces stats:

  • The +4.5 line has been covered by Aces in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
  • The +4.5 line has been covered by Aces in 15 of their last 20 games at home.
  • The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
  • The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
  • The +4.5 line has been covered by Aces in 2 consecutive games against Mercury.

Mercury vs Aces Prediction

We’re happy to get with Las Vegas Aces against the spread in this WNBA contest. 1.94 is available that they are able to cover +4.5 and that looks more than reasonable.

In the quest to secure bigger odds, there’s the possibility of moving the line. There are plenty of choices when it comes to doing this, so you can choose the option that suits you.

Aces +4.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 51.5% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Our Pick

Aces +4.5 @ 1.94 Bet Now bet365 logo
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Published 11:52, 15 June 2025

Player Props

Jewell Loyd Over 14.5 Points 1.78 bet365 logo

Jewell Loyd (Aces) is available at 1.78 to score Over 14.5 points. We’ll place a bet that she is able to cover an appealing total for this Player Points wager.


Chelsea Gray Over 3.5 Rebounds 1.77 bet365 logo

Chelsea Gray (Aces) is available at 1.77 to total Over 3.5 rebounds. The Player Rebounds line looks really attractive when it comes to having an Overs bet.

Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Bet Builder Tips

Spread Aces +4.5
Totals Under 164.5
Player Points Jewell Loyd Over 14.5

We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Aces +4.5, Under 164.5 and Jewell Loyd (Aces) to score Over 14.5 points.

A bet builder is a great alternative for bettors who want to focus their wagering on a single basketball game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.

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Correct Score Prediction

Mercury Mercury logo 78 - 79 Aces logo Aces

We’ll roll the dice and go for the Aces to enjoy a 79-78 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the huge odds.

Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Giving Mercury Plenty of Respect

Sportsbooks’ favorites Phoenix Mercury are regarded as likeliest victors for this WNBA game and the 1.52 about them triumphing means a 66% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. Las Vegas Aces are the underdogs at 2.54 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The current spread is 4.5 and total points is 164.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you want to bet Under 164.5, there are odds of 1.89.

If you’re planning to place a basketball bet, visit the betting sites and check out the wide range of game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Betting Lines & Odds

Jackie Young Favorite to Get Most Points

Jackie Young is the favorite to score most points. Odds of 1.82 can be found for her scoring Over 20.5 points and there is 1.90 for her to go Under.

Player Points

Player Assists

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)
Over 7.5
1.80
Under 7.5
1.93
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Chelsea Gray (Aces)
Over 5.5
2.18
Under 5.5
1.62
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Jackie Young (Aces)
Over 4.5
2.08
Under 4.5
1.68
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Satou Sabally (Mercury)
Over 3.5
2.17
Under 3.5
1.63
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Player Rebounds

Satou Sabally (Mercury)
Over 7.5
1.98
Under 7.5
1.75
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Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)
Over 6.5
1.67
Under 6.5
2.10
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Jackie Young (Aces)
Over 4.5
1.92
Under 4.5
1.81
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Chelsea Gray (Aces)
Over 3.5
1.75
Under 3.5
2.00
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Micro Betting

There are always opportunities to enjoy micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and basketball bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Best Betting Offers

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury logo Phoenix Mercury Stats

Las Vegas Aces logo Las Vegas Aces Stats

Moneyline

  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

Point Spread

Total Points

Total Points

WNBA Table Select Season

Team W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Lynx 12 2 1167 1031 136 7-0 5-2 1L
Liberty 11 3 1229 1082 147 6-1 5-2 1W
Mercury 11 4 1234 1173 61 6-2 5-2 5W
Dream 10 5 1252 1157 95 6-1 4-4 1L
Storm 9 6 1250 1192 58 5-3 4-3 1L
Valkyries 7 7 1105 1100 5 5-3 2-4 1L
Mystics 8 8 1275 1282 -7 5-3 3-5 3W
Aces 7 8 1210 1231 -21 5-4 2-4 1L
Fever 7 8 1251 1195 56 4-4 3-4 1L
10  Sparks 5 11 1305 1384 -79 1-6 4-5 1W
11  Sky 4 10 1091 1235 -144 2-4 2-6 1W
12  Wings 4 12 1302 1362 -60 2-5 2-7 1W
13  Sun 2 13 1064 1311 -247 1-6 1-7 7L