Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, Picks & Odds | 03 Jun 2025

Expect Points in Mercury at Lynx

The Mercury square off against the Lynx in this Commissioner's Cup matchup at Target Center.

Over 156 points seems like a realistic outcome when the Mercury go up against the Lynx. We’re taking odds of 1.89 on the basis that the total line is too low.

9 of Last 10 Clashes Have Been Lynx Wins

Phoenix Mercury triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Los Angeles Sparks were beaten 85-80 at Crypto.com Arena. Satou Sabally starred with 25 points, with Kitija Laksa and Kathryn Westbeld both scoring 15.

Minnesota Lynx made it seven straight wins when beating Golden State Valkyries by a 86-75 scoreline on the road at Chase Center last time out. Napheesa Collier scored 24 points and had 11 rebounds, while Courtney Williams recorded 20 points and Kayla McBride 16.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lynx triumphed 74-71 when they last played the Mercury. This head-to-head was played at Footprint Center. The Lynx have beaten the Mercury in the past five matchups. They’ve also claimed 9 wins in the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction & Picks

There are odds of 1.89 about Over 156 points and this looks generous for this WNBA showdown. The bar might have been set too low in terms of the total line.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the form guide are important duties ahead of making WNBA picks. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can be effective.

Key Mercury vs Lynx stats:

• The 156 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Mercury games on the road.
• The 156 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Mercury games on the road.
• The 156 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Lynx games at home.
• The 156 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Lynx games.

Over 156 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 52.9% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There are ways to boost the odds on an Over wager and some bettors go down the Bet Builder route. It’s effectively a same game parlay where you throw in other selections.

Best Bet

Stake Promo 200% up to $2000 + 5% Rakeback T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 78 - 85 Lynx

Rather than betting on the Lynx to win, there’s the alternative to try your luck when it comes to the correct score lines. Take a chance on a 85-78 victory in their favor.

Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Lynx Heavy Favorites to Win

With an estimated 90% chance of winning, the sportsbooks are taking no chances with their 1.11 betting odds about Minnesota Lynx triumphing in this WNBA game. The market suggests that Phoenix Mercury are least likely to win at 6.90.

The spread currently stands at 12.5 and the total points line is 158.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you're keen on Over 158.5, this selection is available at 1.95.

If you’re wagering on basketball, we recommend heading to the betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.

Napheesa Collier Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

In terms of hitting the most buckets, favorite Napheesa Collier is available at 1.79 to rack up Over 22.5 points. If you want to go Under, then 1.94 is available.

Micro Betting

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Minnesota Lynx Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 156.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 161.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 159.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.60 pts and allowed 77.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 80.90 pts and allowed 80.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 166.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 159.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.60 pts and allowed 75.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 87.90 pts and allowed 78.10 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	23	21	3420	3359	61	14-8	9-13	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L
12  Sky	10	34	3335	3777	-442	6-16	4-18	4L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W