Vitória vs Nacional Prediction, Lineups & Odds

Vitória de Guimarães

CD Nacional
Under 2.5 Goals Looks Value
We’re not expecting the net to bulge too many times, with Under 2.5 Goals anticipated when Vitória and Nacional clash. The Total Goals market selection gives us generous betting odds of 1.85.
1-0 Win for Nacional in Last H2H Clash
Vitória de Guimarães drew on the road in their last game. A 2-2 scoreline was played out against Rio Ave at Estadio dos Arcos. Rui Borges' team enjoyed 63% possession and managed five shots on target, while Oscar Rivas and Gustavo Silva scored one goal each.
Nacional have suffered three straight away defeats. They lost 2-0 in their previous game at home to Benfica at Estadio da Madeira. The Madeira side didn’t see much of the ball with just 33% possession and one shot on goal.
Nacional won the most recent encounter between these teams. A 1-0 home victory was recorded against Vitória at Estadio da Madeira.
Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | ![]() |
34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 47:37 | 54 |
14 | ![]() |
34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 32:50 | 34 |
Vitória have 3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts. The Guimarães club have averaged 55.8% possession, 434.0 passes and 6.1 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.2 goals from 2.9 shots on goal, 8.9 attempts and 4.8 corners.
Gustavo Silva is the top goalscorer with 3, Nelson Oliveira has 2, with Oscar Rivas and two other players on 1. Tiago Silva and Nelson Oliveira have been top assistors on 2, with goalkeeper Bruno Varela keeping 3 clean sheets.
Nacional – Last 10 League GamesNacional have 2 victories, 6 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 0.4 goals from 13.6 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 44.6% possession, 326.3 passes, 5.2 corners in their favour and 6.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 13.8 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal.
The top scorers have been Jose Gomes, Ulisses Rocha, Ruben Macedo and Isaac Aguiar, with 1 goals apiece. Gustavo Garcia has been chief assist maker on 1, with Lucas Franca recording 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Vitória confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Bruno Varela (GK), Alberto Costa, Oscar Rivas, Mikel Villanueva, Joao Mendes, Manu Silva, Tiago Silva, Kaio, Samu, Nuno Santos, Gustavo Silva.
Nacional confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Lucas Franca (GK), Gustavo Garcia, Ulisses Rocha, Ze Vitor, Jose Gomes, Luis Esteves, Djibril Soumare, Bruno Costa, Dudu Teodora, Isaac Aguiar, Arvin Appiah.
Expert Primeira Liga Analysis
We’re keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the best stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.
Key Vitória vs Nacional league stats:
Vitória vs Nacional Prediction
If you agree with our view of a low-scoring Primeira Liga clash, then you can get odds of 1.85 on the Under 2.5 Goals market. We think that this bet has a strong chance of landing.
If you’re hunting larger odds, there’s the opportunity to not only back the Under 2.5 Goals selection but also back a specific team to win. The Result & Total Goals market presents this opportunity.
Under 2.5 Probability
The bookies are estimating that there is a 54.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
Our Pick
Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.85
Correct Score Prediction
A 2-0 win in favor of Vitória can be backed at odds of 5.80. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.
Latest Correct Score Odds
Vitória vs Nacional Odds
For this Primeira Liga match, the leading bookies’ betting odds mean Vitória de Guimarães are the 1.38 favourite to win and that means a 72% chance of winning. The market suggests that Nacional are least likely to win at 8.50.
The Under 2.5 / Over 2.5 Goals betting market has the two outcomes at a similar price.
There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Primeira Liga coupon and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the bet that matches your view on the game.







Best Betting Offers
Team Stats
Vitória League Stats
Nacional League Stats
Full-Time Result
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 0.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 6.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.43 corners awarded and 6.71 corners against in the last 7 away matches
- An average of 11.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.14 corners awarded in the last 7 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 4 of the last 7 away matches
Possession
- An average of 55.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
Possession
- An average of 44.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.57% possession in the last 7 away matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 7 away matches
Team News
Our Vitória vs Nacional team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.
We’re on hand to provide you with full details of the latest Primeira Liga squads.
Vitória vs Nacional Lineups
Vitória Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Nacional Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Vitória Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Nacional Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Vitória Substitutes
- 2Maga
- 8Tomas Handel
- 17Joao Mendes
- 18Telmo Arcanjo
- 28Ze Ferreira
- 44Jorge Fernandes
- 79Jose Bica
- 86Dieu-Merci Michel
- 91Jose Ribeiro
Nacional Substitutes
- 1Rui Encarnacao
- 2Joao Aurelio
- 15Chiheb Labidi
- 17Daniel Penha
- 18Andre Sousa
- 33Chico Goncalves
- 34Leonardo Santos
- 88Matheus Dias
- 89Dyego Sousa
Previous Vitória Lineups
Previous Nacional Lineups
Primeira Liga Table
2024/2025 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sporting | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88:27 | 82 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84:28 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65:30 | 71 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55:30 | 66 |
5 | Santa Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36:32 | 57 |
6 | Vitória | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47:37 | 54 |
7 | Famalicão | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44:39 | 47 |
8 | Estoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48:53 | 46 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:44 | 45 |
10 | Moreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:50 | 40 |
11 | Rio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:55 | 38 |
12 | Arouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:49 | 38 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:47 | 34 |
14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32:50 | 34 |
15 | Estrela | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24:50 | 29 |
16 | AVS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25:60 | 27 |
17 | Farense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25:46 | 27 |
18 | Boavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24:59 | 24 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Benfica | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 52:12 | 44 |
2 | Sporting | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 40:13 | 44 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39:11 | 42 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33:19 | 32 |
5 | Vitória | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29:19 | 32 |
6 | Santa Clara | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 32 |
7 | Famalicão | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 20:12 | 28 |
8 | Casa Pia | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 22:19 | 28 |
9 | Rio Ave | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 25:24 | 26 |
10 | Moreirense | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 22:21 | 26 |
11 | Estoril | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 23:23 | 25 |
12 | Nacional | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 23:27 | 24 |
13 | Arouca | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:19 | 21 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18:19 | 20 |
15 | Estrela | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:24 | 19 |
16 | AVS | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13:26 | 15 |
17 | Farense | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10:24 | 11 |
18 | Boavista | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8:31 | 6 |
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