Patriots Betting Line Looks Too Generous

The Patriots can give a good account of themselves against the Niners. They can prevent a big loss and there is 1.91 available that the underdogs cover the +10.5 spread.

Niners Came Out on Top in Previous H2H

New England Patriots have suffered a defeat in back-to-back games including a recent 24-3 loss. This occurred on the road at MetLife Stadium against New York Jets. The Patriots 139 yards total gain included 61 passing and 78 rushing yards. They picked up 11 first downs and allowed 27.

San Francisco 49ers have suffered defeat in their last two games. Most recently, a 27-24 scoreline occurred on the road at SoFi Stadium against Los Angeles Rams. The 49ers managed a 425 yard gain, composed of 137 rushing and 288 passing yards. They picked up 25 first downs and scored 3 touchdowns.

These two teams last met at Gillette Stadium, with the Niners claiming the win. Beating the Patriots by a 33-6 scoreline.

Quarterbacks

Jacoby Brissett

Brock Purdy

Expert NFL Analysis

The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the NFL betting lines and odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while some key stats are also taken into consideration.

Key Patriots vs 49ers stats:

The +10.5 line has been covered by Patriots in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
The +10.5 line has been covered by Patriots in 8 of their last 10 games.
The -10.5 line hasn’t been covered by 49ers in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
The -10.5 line hasn’t been covered by 49ers in 7 of their last 10 games.
The -10.5 line hasn’t been covered by 49ers in 2 consecutive games.

Patriots vs 49ers Prediction

Our pick is that the Patriots might not be beaten heavily in this NFL matchup. The underdogs have been afforded a generous +10.5 and we recommend backing them at odds of 1.91.

Bettors can choose between buying or selling points depending on their attitude to risk. When you move the line in either direction, the odds change accordingly.

Patriots +10.5 Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

Our Pick

Patriots +10.5 @ 1.91 Bet Now

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Published 08:26, 28 September 2024

Patriots vs 49ers Bet Builder Tips

Spread Patriots +10.5

Anytime Touchdown Antonio Gibson

Receiving Yards Rhamondre Stevenson Over 13.5

We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Patriots +10.5, Antonio Gibson to record a touchdown and Rhamondre Stevenson to have Over 13.5 receiving yards.

A bet builder is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular football game. Should a bettor get these selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.

Bet Boosts

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Patriots

21 - 27 49ers logo

49ers

The 49ers can be wagered in lots of different ways and this includes the correct score lines. There’s the chance to back them to win 27-21 for a big potential return.

Patriots vs 49ers Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Niners Heavy Favorites to Win

The latest Moneyline betting odds give San Francisco 49ers a 85% chance of winning this game which means they’re overwhelming 1.17 favorites with the sportsbooks. New England Patriots are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at 5.30.

The current spread is 11 and total points is 42. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest NFL data to good effect. If you’re going for Under 42, this outcome can be backed at 1.98.

There are hundreds of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on the National Football League and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the bet that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Point Spread

Total Points

Player Props

If you have a view on Player Interceptions, Longest Pass Completion or Passing Attempts, then the player and quarterback prop betting could be up your street. It’s a great way of wagering on a player to perform well.

Jordan Mason Favorite to Score First Touchdown

Jordan Mason is the First Touchdown Scorer favorite at 4.60. Alternatively, there’s the chance to simply back him to score a TD anytime at 1.53.

Touchdown

Jordan Mason (49ers)

Deebo Samuel (49ers)

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

Brandon Aiyuk (49ers)

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Receiving Yards

Brandon Aiyuk (49ers)

Deebo Samuel (49ers)

George Kittle (49ers)

Jauan Jennings (49ers)

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Rushing Yards

Jordan Mason (49ers)

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

Antonio Gibson (Patriots)

Jacoby Brissett (Patriots)

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Passing Yards

Brock Purdy (49ers)

Jacoby Brissett (Patriots)

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

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Last 5 Games

49ers

NFL: 22/09 Rams 27 49ers24
NFL: 15/09 Vikings 23 49ers17
NFL: 10/09 49ers 32 Jets19
NFL Playoffs: 12/02 Chiefs 25 49ers22
NFL Playoffs: 29/01 49ers 34 Lions31

Head to Head

Patriots vs 49ers

NFL: 25/10 2020 Patriots 6 49ers 33

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New England Patriots Stats

San Francisco 49ers Stats

Moneyline

3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

+10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
+10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

-10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
-10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 31.90 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 35.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 40.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
Over 40.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 13.40 pts and allowed 18.50 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 14.60 pts and allowed 21.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 50.30 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 49.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 40.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
Over 40.5 at Home: Covered in the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.40 pts and allowed 23.90 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 27.80 pts and allowed 21.20 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

Total Yards: Gained 249.00 Yds. Allowed 284.40 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 111.10 Yds. Allowed 85.60 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 137.90 Yds. Allowed 198.80 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 13.60. Allowed 16.90
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.00
Total Penalties: Committed 3.90. Committed by opponents 3.40
Penalty Yards: Lost 36.30 Yds. Gained 30.50 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

Total Yards: Gained 391.90 Yds. Allowed 345.40 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 136.90 Yds. Allowed 126.70 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 255.00 Yds. Allowed 218.70 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.00 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 23.10. Allowed 19.80
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.40
Total Penalties: Committed 4.90. Committed by opponents 4.40
Penalty Yards: Lost 43.30 Yds. Gained 35.60 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

Total Yards: Gained 268.60 Yds. Allowed 295.10 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 100.80 Yds. Allowed 87.70 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 167.80 Yds. Allowed 207.40 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 14.50. Allowed 18.30
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 1.00
Total Penalties: Committed 5.30. Committed by opponents 3.80
Penalty Yards: Lost 44.40 Yds. Gained 32.90 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

Total Yards: Gained 412.20 Yds. Allowed 320.90 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 138.70 Yds. Allowed 102.90 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 273.50 Yds. Allowed 218.00 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.40 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.70. Allowed 20.30
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.50
Total Penalties: Committed 5.50. Committed by opponents 3.80
Penalty Yards: Lost 53.90 Yds. Gained 29.30 Yds

Team News

New England Patriots @ San Francisco 49ers Lineups

San Francisco 49ers

Manager:

Kyle Shanahan

0

Renardo Green

3

Mitch Wishnowsky

4

Jake Moody

17

Brandon Allen

18

Chris Conley

19

Jacob Cowing

22

Isaac Yiadom

24

Jordan Ponchez-Mason

30

George Odum

31

Isaac Guerendo

32

Patrick Taylor Jr.

33

Rock Ya-Sin

38

Jaylen Mahoney

46

Taybor Pepper

48

Tatum Bethune

51

Robert Beal Jr.

53

Dee Winters

63

Nick Zakelj

69

Evan Anderson

74

Spencer Burford

76

Jaylon Moore

82

Eric Saubert

88

Jake Tonges

90

Kevin Givens

91

Sam Okuayinonu

94

Yetur Gross-Matos

New England Patriots

Manager:

Jerod Mayo

3

Demario Douglas

4

Antonio Gibson

6

Javon Baker

9

Kayshon Boutte

10

Drake Maye

11

Tyquan Thornton

13

Joey Slye

17

Bryce Baringer

21

Jaylinn Hawkins

22

Marco Wilson

24

Dell Pettus

27

Marcellas Dial Jr.

29

Isaiah Bolden

39

JaMycal Hasty

41

Brenden Schooler

49

Joe Cardona

51

Nick Leverett

52

Curtis Jacobs

53

Christian Elliss

70

Caedan Wallace

72

Zach Thomas

86

Mitchell Wilcox

91

Deatrich Wise Jr.

96

Eric Johnson

97

Trysten Hill

98

Jeremiah Pharms Jr.

San Francisco 49ers Substitutes

1 Deebo Samuel
2 Deommodore Lenoir
6 Malik Mustapha
7 Charvarius Ward
11 Brandon Aiyuk
13 Brock Purdy
15 Jauan Jennings
27 Ji'Ayir Brown
44 Kyle Juszczyk
45 Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles
54 Fred Warner
56 Leonard Floyd
59 De'Vondre Campbell
64 Jake Brendel
65 Aaron Banks
68 Colton McKivitz
71 Trent Williams
77 Dominick Puni
85 George Kittle
92 Jordan Elliott
97 Nick Bosa
99 Maliek Collins

New England Patriots Substitutes

0 Christian Gonzalez
1 Ja'Lynn Polk
2 K.J. Osborn
5 Jabrill Peppers
7 Jacoby Brissett
23 Kyle Dugger
25 Marcus Jones
31 Jonathan Jones
38 Rhamondre Stevenson
48 Jahlani Tavai
50 Raekwon McMillan
55 Josh Uche
60 David Andrews
62 Sidy Sow
64 Layden Robinson
71 Mike Onwenu
75 Demontrey Jacobs
81 Austin Hooper
85 Hunter Henry
92 Davon Godchaux
95 Daniel Ekuale
99 Keion White

New England Patriots Injuries

Type

Name

Info

Jake Andrews

Undisclosed

Alex Austin

Ankle

Christian Barmore

Illness

Ja'Whaun Bentley

Pectoral

Kendrick Bourne

Knee - ACL

JaQuae Jackson

Knee

Anfernee Jennings

Shoulder

Jonathan Jones

Shoulder

Michael Jordan

Knee

Vederian Lowe

Knee

Marte Mapu

Undisclosed

Chukwuma Okorafor

Undisclosed

Sidy Sow

Ankle

Cole Strange

Knee

Sione Takitaki

Knee

Caedan Wallace

Knee

Armon Watts

Undisclosed

Oshane Ximines

Knee

San Francisco 49ers Injuries

Type

Name

Info

Kalia Davis

Knee

Jordan Elliott

Foot

Jon Feliciano

Knee

Dre Greenlaw

Achilles

Javon Hargrave

Triceps

Talanoa Hufanga

Ankle

Drake Jackson

Knee

Christian McCaffrey

Achilles

Elijah Mitchell

Hamstring

Ricky Pearsall

Chest

Curtis Robinson

Knee - ACL

Deebo Samuel

Calf

Ambry Thomas

Forearm

Trent Williams

Toe

Dee Winters

Ankle

Previous New England Patriots Lineups

20 Sep NFL

Patriots 3-24 Jets

Confirmed Lineups

16 Sep NFL

Seahawks 23-20 Patriots

Confirmed Lineups

09 Sep NFL

Patriots 16-10 Bengals

Confirmed Lineups

08 Jan NFL

Jets 17-3 Patriots

Confirmed Lineups

01 Jan NFL

Patriots 21-27 Bills

Confirmed Lineups

25 Dec NFL

Patriots 26-23 Broncos

Confirmed Lineups

18 Dec NFL

Chiefs 27-17 Patriots

Confirmed Lineups

08 Dec NFL

Patriots 21-18 Steelers

Confirmed Lineups

04 Dec NFL

Chargers 6-0 Patriots

Confirmed Lineups

27 Nov NFL

Patriots 7-10 Giants

Confirmed Lineups

Previous San Francisco 49ers Lineups

23 Sep NFL

49ers 24-27 Rams

Confirmed Lineups

16 Sep NFL

49ers 17-23 Vikings

Confirmed Lineups

10 Sep NFL

Jets 19-32 49ers

Confirmed Lineups

12 Feb NFL Playoffs

49ers 22-25 Chiefs

Confirmed Lineups

29 Jan NFL Playoffs

Lions 31-34 49ers

Confirmed Lineups

21 Jan NFL Playoffs

Packers 21-24 49ers

Confirmed Lineups

08 Jan NFL

Rams 21-20 49ers

Confirmed Lineups

01 Jan NFL

49ers 27-10 Commanders

Confirmed Lineups

26 Dec NFL

Ravens 33-19 49ers

Confirmed Lineups

18 Dec NFL

49ers 45-29 Cardinals

Confirmed Lineups

NFL Standings Select Season

AFC East	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bills	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Dolphins	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Patriots	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Jets	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

AFC North	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Ravens	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Bengals	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Browns	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Steelers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

AFC South	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Texans	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Colts	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Jaguars	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Titans	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

AFC West	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Broncos	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Chiefs	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Raiders	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Chargers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

NFC East	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Cowboys	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Giants	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Eagles	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Commanders	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

NFC North	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bears	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Lions	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Packers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Vikings	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

NFC South	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Falcons	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Panthers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Saints	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Buccaneers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

NFC West	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Cardinals	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Rams	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
49ers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Seahawks	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

AFC Conference	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bills	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Dolphins	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Patriots	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Jets	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Ravens	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Bengals	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Browns	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Steelers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Texans	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Colts	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Jaguars	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Titans	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Broncos	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Chiefs	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Raiders	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Chargers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

NFC Conference	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Cowboys	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Giants	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Eagles	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Commanders	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Bears	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Lions	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Packers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Vikings	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Falcons	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Panthers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Saints	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Buccaneers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Cardinals	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Rams	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
49ers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Seahawks	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

NFL Team	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Cardinals	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Falcons	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Ravens	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Bills	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Panthers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Bears	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Bengals	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Browns	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Cowboys	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Broncos	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Lions	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Packers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Texans	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Colts	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Jaguars	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Chiefs	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Raiders	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Chargers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Rams	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Dolphins	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Vikings	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Patriots	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Saints	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Giants	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Jets	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Eagles	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Steelers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
49ers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Seahawks	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Buccaneers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Titans	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Commanders	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-